“CNN Poll: Obama Trails Mitt And Huck, Leads Gingrich And Palin” (TPMDC):
A newly-released CNN poll, conducted a few days before this past midterm election, shows President Obama in for a competitive race in 2012, with him trailing two potential Republican candidates and leading two others among registered voters.
• Mike Huckabee leads Obama by 52%-44%. In the previous CNN poll from April, Obama led Huckabee by 54%-45%.
• Mitt Romney leads Obama by 50%-45%. In the previous CNN poll from April, Obama led Romney by 53%-45%.
As it happens, Sarabeth and I have a bet on the 2012 election made about a year ago. I have The Huck and The Mitt, Sarabeth has Obama. As of now, I expect a push because Huckabee will have to deal with the fact that a man whose prison sentence he commuted killed four police officers last year, Romney won’t be able to run against health care because the Affordable Care Act is basically RomneyCare, and well, Obama just isn’t getting another term.
I know people aren’t yet ready to wrap their heads around Obama not winning in 2012, but taking a look at the electoral map makes it pretty clear. Obama won Indiana, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, Iowa, Wisconsin, and Florida in 2008. NC and IN are totally off the table, and Ohio and Florida were both absolute bloodbaths for Democrats on Tuesday. Iowa voted to actually remove three state judges for ruling in favor of gay marriage. It’s hard to imagine Wisconsin voting out Russ Feingold in favor of a total psycho and then turning around and giving Obama another four years. Likewise Pennsylvania and Virginia were very unfriendly to Democrats on Tuesday.
That’s 124 electoral votes that range from shaky to straight-up gone.