It struck me on Monday that, in the polling for the Florida primaries, one pollster’s predictions stood out from the rest:
• With Florida’s high-profile primaries on deck for tomorrow, there’s a flurry of new data to consider. In the Republican gubernatorial primary, Mason-Dixon shows state Attorney General Bill McCollum out in front of Rick Scott by nine points (45% to 36%); Quinnipiac shows McCollum up by four points (39% to 35%); while Public Policy Polling shows Scott ahead by seven points (47% to 40%).
• As for the Sunshine State’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary, Mason-Dixon shows Rep. Kendrick Meek out in front of Jeff Greeene by 12 points (42% to 30%); Quinnipiac shows Meek up by 10 points (39% to 29%); while Public Policy Polling shows Meek ahead by 24 points (51% to 27%).
In the gubernatorial primary, scandal-ridden former healthcare CEO Rick Scott’s three-point win over McCollum is being billed as a surprise. But Public Policy Polling called it on Monday.
They also pretty much nailed Kendrick Meek’s victory margin: he won by 26 points.