The Comparative Costs Of Extending The Bush Tax Cuts

Most of the stories I have seen on the subject focus on the cost of extending the tax cuts for only the wealthiest Americans. I really cannot recall reading anywhere in the mainstream media or on a liberal blog what the cost would be for the Democrats’ proposal of extending the tax cuts only for individuals who earn less than $200,000 and married couples who earn less than $250,000.

So here (pdf):

From a budgetary perspective, the price of extending all of the cuts is steep; full extension would contribute $3.7 trillion to the deficit over the next ten years.
[...]
The administration’s proposal shaves off about $680 billion from the 10-year deficit…

Extending the tax cuts for the first 98% of the population will cost about $3 trillion over 10 years, while extending them for the last 2% will cost an extra $680 billion.

Krugman pointed out yesterday that $360 billion of that $680 billion will go to “the richest 120,000 people in the country.” That’s the richest 0.1% of Americans; “the poorest members of the group have annual incomes of more than $2 million, and the average member makes more than $7 million a year”.

So, to summarize:
• For the first 98% of Americans, extending the tax cuts for 10 years will cost $3 trillion. By a rough calculation, that’s $2,500 each year per taxpayer.
• For the next 1.9% of Americans, extending the tax cuts for 10 years will cost $320 billion. By a rough calculation, that’s $14,000 each year per taxpayer.
• For the last 0.1% of Americans, extending the tax cuts for 10 years will cost $360 billion. By a rough calculation, that’s $300,000 each year per taxpayer.

That first $3 trillion will unquestionably have a stimulative effect on the economy. That is to say, most of this money will be spent, and contribute to demand, growth and reduced unemployment.

The last $680 billion stimulates the economy only in the depraved wet dreams of the asshole contingent of the Republican Party.

(See also: Much Better Than 1,000 Words)
 

Comments

  1. Paul says:

    The “asshole contingent of the Republican Party” is distinguished from the Republican Party by what, exactly?

  2. David Hewett says:

    “That first $3 trillion will unquestionably have a stimulative effect on the economy”

    No more effect than it is currently having. Congress would not be giving the middle class a NEW tax cut but extending one they have enjoyed for many years and due to which they have already adjusted their spending habits. The stimulating effect of keeping the cuts would be neglible.

    The un-stimulating (pardon my making up a word) effect of scraping the tax cuts would unquestionably have an un-stimulative effect on the economy though because peoples’ current spending habits would be modified to match the new net income. That is also true for the so called wealthy, which in the Obama plan includes many small businesses. The risk is that those business with over $25K income (income…not profit mind) would cut employment as a result of higher taxes (higher because small business income is passed through to personal taxes).

    In a recession, or recovery from a recession, the last thing you want people doing is cutting their spending. Whether you like the notion of the so called “rich” getting an extension to the tax cut, from a social justice perspective, is one thing, but the notion it will help the recovery is something else altogether.

  3. matt says:

    “The risk is that those business with over $25K income (income…not profit mind) would cut employment as a result of higher taxes (higher because small business income is passed through to personal taxes).”

    this is absolute fucking nonsense. small business owners who file as individuals still deduct expenses.

  4. sarabeth says:

    And give up on the given-up talking points already!

    As Boehner himself conceded last month, less than 3% of “small businesses” will be affected by letting the Bush-era tax rates expire for the top tax brackets.

    And that 3% includes “small businesses” like Wall Street buyout firm Kohlberg, Kravis and Roberts (KKR), auditing powerhouse PricewaterhouseCoopers, the Tribune Corp, billionaire George Soros and most movie stars.