Poll: McDonnell Way Ahead In Virginia — Because Republicans Are More Motivated

A new survey of Virginia from Public Policy Polling (D) finds Republican former state Attorney General Bob McDonnell with a big lead over Democratic state Sen. Creigh Deeds — with GOPers currently a lot more motivated to be likely voters right now.
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From the pollster’s analysis: “It’s not that voters are changing sides from last fall- the 5% of John McCain‘s voters planning to vote for Deeds is actually equal to the 5% of Barack Obama‘s voters planning to vote for McDonnell. But Republicans, on a losing streak in Virginia, appear to be more motivated about heading to the polls at this point three months before the election.”

Poll: Corzine Way Down In New Jersey — With Republicans More Likely To Vote

A new Monmouth University poll of the New Jersey gubernatorial race finds that Democratic Gov. Jon Corzine is in big trouble against his Republican opponent, former U.S. Attorney Christie Christie (sic) — and a very important reason for this is that one side is simply move (sic) motivated to vote right now.

The numbers: Among likely voters, Christie has 50% to Corzine’s 36%. Among all registered voters, Christie only leads by 43%-39%, due to a tendency for non-likely voters to lean Democratic or undecided. From the pollster’s analysis: “But the bottom line is that Christie’s supporters are more engaged, which is why the Republican’s lead among likely voters has grown.”

Republicans are more motivated and more likely to vote. Maybe it’s because Democrats are not getting what they voted for in ’06/’08.