Cognitive Dissonance, Part 2

They certainly launched Operation Swarmer yesterday with the kind of fanfare with which battles used to be resumed each morning in the days of yore. There were swarms of trumpets, orchestrated no doubt by our “wartime public opinion” people.

So why is everyone involved in the fanfare of trumpets looking busy doing something else today?

The US military said the assault, dubbed Operation Swarmer, was intended to “clear a suspected insurgent operating area” north-east of Samarra.

They describe it as the biggest airborne operation in Iraq since the US invasion in 2003, involving more than 50 aircraft and 1,500 troops.

The BBC’s Andrew North in Baghdad says the Pentagon has been keen to publicise it, releasing video footage to the media not long after the assault began.

But it is now clear this was nothing like the air strikes of 2003, and the US military has confirmed no bombs were dropped or missiles fired, our correspondent says.
[…]
US and Iraqi troops surrounded a group of villages and are carrying out raids, but a security official said insurgent leaders had left before they arrived.

The operation near the town of Samarra is not as huge as has been suggested, correspondents say.

Local people say there has been little if any combat.

The troops carrying out the operation are said to have detained about 40 suspects but 17 of these were later released.

The joint US and Iraqi force said it had captured a number of weapons caches, containing shells, explosives and military uniforms.

The Iraqi foreign minister said the aim was to stop insurgents from turning the town into a stronghold.

But a senior Sunni Arab politician criticised the operation, which came a day after the new Iraqi parliament met for its inaugural session.

“[The US forces] are surprising us with meaningless acts at the time Iraqis are looking forward to the first session of the parliament, preferring the political solution, not the military one,” Saleh al-Mutleq told Reuters news agency.

Operation Swarmer was named after the largest peacetime airborne war games exercise in history (conducted in the 1950s). It’s certainly looking like it isn’t much more than a war games exercise itself (and for this, I had to pay 20c per gallon more for gas yesterday?):

…according to a colleague of mine from TIME who traveled up there today on a U.S. embassy-sponsored trip, there are no insurgents, no fighting and 17 of the 41 prisoners taken have already been released after just one day. The “number of weapons caches” equals six, which isn’t unusual when you travel around Iraq. They’re literally everywhere.
[...]
…about 1,500 troops were involved, 700 American and 800 Iraqi. But get this: in the area they’re scouring there are only about 1,500 residents. According to my colleague and other reporters who were there, not a single shot has been fired.

“Operation Swarmer” is really a media show. It was designed to show off the new Iraqi Army — although there was no enemy for them to fight. Every American official I’ve heard has emphasized the role of the Iraqi forces just days before the third anniversary of the start of the war. That said, one Iraqi role the military will start highlighting in the next few days, I imagine, is that of Iraqi intelligence. It was intel from the Iraqi military intelligence and interior ministry that the U.S. says prompted this Potemkin operation.
[...]
So I guess it’s fitting that on the eve of the third anniversary of a war launched on — oh, let’s be generous — “faulty” intelligence, a major operation is hyped and then turns out to be less than what it appeared because of … faulty intelligence.

I guess they threw a major operation, and nobody came!

***UPDATE (2:50 pm)
Just like that second quote from back-to-iraq.com said, the U.S. military has started to hype the Iraqi role in this made-for-tv operation. Reuters has just put out a story headlined “US says raid shows Iraqi army taking control“:

The U.S. military said on Friday a highly publicized joint U.S.-Iraqi offensive marked a change in the fight against guerillas, showing Iraq’s army was becoming more effective and taking greater control.
[...]
“(The operation) really marks a change and it marks an evolution,” said a top U.S. commander, Lieutenant General Peter Chiarelli
[...]
“Had we tried to accomplish a mission like this 11 months ago, it would have been primarily U.S. forces. But in this case … we had primarily Iraqi forces,” he said.

U.S. and Iraqi forces pressed on with “Operation Swarmer”…

Just what we need in the continuing battle to win more Americans over to the “approve” column when it comes to the Iraq war—generals who can stick to the script even when events don’t. Way to establish credibility, guys! A-R-M-Y, ARMY!

Comments

  1. Alex says:

    Now let’s think about how you would have responded under different circumstances.

    Scenario 1: The operation goes off as it has, insurgents leave, and very little happens.

    Result: You mock the intelligence community for bad estimates, and complain that it’s a waste of time, money, and effort.

    Scenario 2: The operation gets launched, meets fiercer resistance than predicted, and the assault gets bogged down.

    Result: You blame the intelligence community for bad estimates, blame the President for getting our soldiers killed, blame the military for “poor training” and “poor equipment”, and call for an immediate withdrawl from Iraq.

    Scenario 3: The operation gets launched, meets fierce resistance, but the plan goes as planned, only encountering minimal casualties, and accomplishing the mission according to the projected timeline.

    Result: You complain that US troops were too aggressive in dealing with insurgents. Allegations of war crimes are highly publicized when it’s found that a Marine officer shot an “unarmed” insurgent who refused to cooperate or even make it clear that he was unarmed. Rumours are circulated about local hospitals being shut down by soldiers, and about doctors being executed, but ofcourse no evidence ever surfaces. Just as naturaly, the lack of evidence does nothing to dissipate the rumours. Eventualy, “Operation Swarmer” is declared by peace activists to “be another Fallujah”, and it becomes yet another symbol of “why we need to get out of Iraq!”.

    In other words, no matter what we do, you’re going to be opposed to it, and you’re going to see it in a negative light. You disgust me. You’re no better than the most base, racist, uneducated hick, who judges others based on pre-conceived notions and refuses to even acknowledge the possibility that he may be wrong. You are everything that I loathe in the human race. I was thinking about asking you to at least try and climb out of your little ideological bubble, but it’s quite clear that you’re totaly incapable of even making the attempt. Instead, I’ll simply hope that perhaps some of your readers who may hold similar views will see this post and realize just how deluded you truly are. If I can encourage others to try and better themselves, then I’ll have accomplished something here.

  2. screwtape says:

    You are everything that I loathe in the human race.

    Wow. That’s quite a charge. I admit I am not the biggest fan of sarabeth’s writing. But it is not bad enough for me to get so emotional over. Everything that you loathe in the human race? I cannot see how that is even possible. That could not even be embodied in one human being. I could not even say that of bush, cheney or rove, and I absolutely hate their guts.

    I think you are being hysterical, Alex. Perhaps you should have a valium and a nap.

  3. sarabeth says:

    You’re no better than the most base, racist, uneducated hick, who judges others based on pre-conceived notions and refuses to even acknowledge the possibility that he may be wrong. You are everything that I loathe in the human race.

    Given the opinions and attitudes you have expressed here, I’m not sure if I’m more pleased or proud to be on your shit list.

  4. sarabeth says:

    (clarification: here meant 1115.org, not just this one comment)

  5. Nick in Beantown says:

    I was thinking about asking you to at least try and climb out of your little ideological bubble, but it’s quite clear that you’re totaly incapable of even making the attempt.

    At the very least, Alex, you’re bubble-rubbing with the folks, here, and so the same could be said about you.

  6. sarabeth says:

    I was thinking about asking you to at least try and climb out of your little ideological bubble, but it’s quite clear that you’re totaly incapable of even making the attempt.

    Actually, it is part of my daily routine that I spend 30 minutes every afternoon trying very hard to climb out of my bubble.

    So easy to be wrong, isn’t it, when you engage in blind guesswork about other people’s thinking and lives?

  7. sac says:

    Alex has a point. I’m wondering if going into Iraq was such a monumentally bad idea that there is no possibility of a positive development ocurring there. What would, in Sarabeth’s or 1115′s opnion, be a good thing to happen. Pulling out as soon as possible? All the troops coming home? Is that the best case scenario? If so, why?

  8. I’m wondering if going into Iraq was such a monumentally bad idea that there is no possibility of a positive development ocurring there.

    I think that’s the ultimate truth here. Alex thinks we’re so opposed to the administration that no matter what they do in regard to the war, we’ll talk shit. But the truth is, there’s nothing you can do with a dead puppy to make it awesome. Iraq is fucked. So, yeah, bring the troops home before another gets blowed up. That’ll probably lead to more fucked up shit, but what else can we do? Nothing.

    Even if I’m wrong, I think a phony shock-and-awe publicity stunt is a crooked-ass way to try and win people over.

    Also, Alex is a total douche-twat. Like, imagine a rotten vagina. Now imagine that vagina is a person and has a rotten penis. Now imagine that penis is also a person and has a rotten butthole. Alex is that butthole’s retarded cousin.

  9. sarabeth says:

    I’m wondering if going into Iraq was such a monumentally bad idea that there is no possibility of a positive development ocurring there.

    I never said this. No one else seems to have said it on 1115 either. Since you’ve been thinking about it, feel free to share your thoughts.

    What would, in Sarabeth’s or 1115’s opnion, be a good thing to happen. Pulling out as soon as possible? All the troops coming home? Is that the best case scenario? If so, why?

    I don’t speak for 1115, of course, so maybe Matt or Jason will chime in, if they want. I have made my position on this pretty clear in several posts over the last few months. Briefly, a big part of the reason why Iraq is such a big mess for us is that there isn’t any good alternative. We got into this without thinking it through, dug ourselves into a really deep hole, and now no one has any idea what we can or should do. Pulling out right away, or as soon as possible, isn’t going solve anything. But staying doesn’t look like it’s going to achieve anything either. If there’s no hope of achieving a positive outcome by staying, maybe it is better to bring our soldiers home right away instead of hanging around and getting some more of them killed and maimed without anything positive to show in return?

  10. sac says:

    Last year I would have said we have to finish the job even though I was totally against going there in the first place. Today, I’m more inclined to say bring them home because, as you say, the complete incompetence of the Bush admistration coupled with the American people’s waning support of the war have made any progress there highly unlikely.

  11. sarabeth says:

    Today, I’m more inclined to say bring them home because, as you say, the complete incompetence of the Bush admistration coupled with the American people’s waning support of the war have made any progress there highly unlikely.

    Actually, I didn’t invoke either of those reasons for saying maybe the best thing is to bring them home right away.

    I think Iraq is a no-win situation no matter who is in charge from this point on, and how competent they are. It is a no-win situation regardless of whether the American people support the war or not.

    As Matthew Tobey said, it’s a dead puppy. Period.

  12. Ken says:

    Like Sac, I’m deeply ambivalent about where this leaves us. In the run-up to war, I felt it was clear the Administration was running a shell game. Unfortunately, I doubt we’ll ever get a full accounting of what really happened.

    The question of what to do in Iraq – while acknowledging our obligations – is a problem so difficult, I’ll admit I’m stumped. But I’m certain that the Bush Administration’s credibility – which is bad enough in this country – is even worse in Iraq. I very much doubt that the situation there will improve until we see substantial and meaningful changes in the leadership here. It’s not just a matter of incompetent strategies and planning – it’s about trust.

    Which makes me wonder: Iraq aside, what would a realistic post-Bush foreign policy look like? We certainly face real threats, but I think most would agree that we are weaker (and poorer) when we act unilaterally. If we could get beyond all the spin and bluster, how would we engage the world, to begin to repair the widespread damage of this administration? Given what we know to expect from ourselves, our potential allies, and our enemies, what would be a pragmatic, post-Bush foreign policy?