Just us Lefties Pt 5 at 1115.org

Just us Lefties Pt 5

by matt at 6:00 am on February 20th, 2006 in Bush Man Date

So, the President has negative approval ratings in 40 states, including (imagine me reading this list Howard Dean-style) Arizona, Arkansas, Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Kentucky, Louisiana, Mississippi, Missouri, Nevada, New Mexico, North Carolina, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, South Dakota, Tennessee, Virginia, and West Virginia, all states that he won in 2004.

Either there are substantially more lefties out there than previously thought, or the noticeable lack of terror alerts is giving normal people a chance to reflect on the events of the last few years.

A toss-up really.

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Comments

JimC wrote:

Or maybe when people like me gets a call from CNN-Gallup wanting to poll me, I hang up on them….

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 6:35 am ¶
matt wrote:

Or maybe when people like me gets a call from CNN-Gallup wanting to poll me, I hang up on them….

all the better for their results.

again, you betray a staggering ignorance of polling technique. it’s unbelievable that you are so intent on waving your stupidity around and bragging about it.

1) Survey USA is probably the most accurate polling company out there.
2) Their sample size accounts for party ID based on breakdown in any give state.

but they can’t tell you because you know the President is still riding at 80% approval, right?

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 6:47 am ¶
JimC wrote:

no, but I know a lot of conservatives who won’t talk to pollsters. We’ve seen this effect before, i.e. exit polling at the last election. I’m just saying, that everytime it looks like the conservatives are on the ropes, they still win the election, you think it is because of fraud, I think it is because traditional conservatives like where I live, don’t want to talk to anyone about their votes or opinion.

Just my opinion, I could be wrong. We’ll see in the next elections I suppose…

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 7:00 am ¶
matt wrote:

no, but I know a lot of conservatives who won’t talk to pollsters

i’m not sure what your point is here. there are plenty who do, and the pollster is responsible for finding them to properly weight their sample. the simple fact that give or take 1/3 of respondents are republican factors out your circle of poll-avoiding shut-ins.

We’ve seen this effect before, i.e. exit polling at the last election. I’m just saying, that everytime it looks like the conservatives are on the ropes, they still win the election, you think it is because of fraud…

i’m specifically not talking about elections, hence my link to terror alerts. no elections = no terror alerts. watch that change as we approach november.

I think it is because traditional conservatives like where I live, don’t want to talk to anyone about their votes or opinion.

it’s funny to me that you consider yourself a traditional conservative. but again, your perception of who talks to pollsters isn’t a factor in their accuracy. enough do to create a statistically sound sample size, the basis for public opinion research.

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 7:21 am ¶
JimC wrote:

it’s funny to me that you consider yourself a traditional conservative.

I don’t, at least not yet. I’ve only been a conservative for 8 years or so…like I said, I don’t put a lot of faith in polls. We’ll see….

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 8:12 am ¶
matt wrote:

I don’t, at least not yet.

not traditional in a sense of generations of jim cs have been republicans. traditional as in the traditional definition of republican. you aren’t that, but then again, not many are these days.

like I said, I don’t put a lot of faith in polls.

we know. probably because they are scientific, and when science gets in the way of something you think, it goes out the window.

Posted 20 Feb 2006 at 9:34 am ¶
42 wrote:

he’s only 50% or higher in seven whole states. that’s some man date.

Posted 21 Feb 2006 at 4:26 pm ¶
seamus wrote:

Most of these states have a margin of error of +/- 4%, which means that Bush has majority approval in Alabama, Idaho, Nebraska, Oklahoma, Utah, and Wyoming. Those are six states, ironically six of the least likely to be impacted by terrorism.

Meanwhile, Bush has majority disapproval beyond the MoE in 36 states, including a whopping -47% net approval in Rhode Island. Good lord.

Posted 21 Feb 2006 at 4:43 pm ¶

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